Ongoing projects
Findings are preliminary and subject to change.
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Job market paper
Primary Care Clinician Supply, Market Structure, and Access in the US
With Jane M. Zhu (Oregon Health & Science University), Nicholas S.J. King (Brown University), Michael L. Barnett (Brown University)
We used AI voice agents to call nearly 13,000 primary care clinics in 280 metropolitan areas and ask about the soonest appointment for a new Medicare patient. Wait times varied widely across markets and were better explained by market competition than by clinician supply.
Mean wait time for a new Medicare appointment, by metropolitan area Mean wait time (days) 102030405060 -
Did Florida's Anti-Brokering Initiative Reduce the Out-of-State "Florida Shuffle"?
With Brendan Saloner (Brown University)
Florida's residential addiction treatment programs have long drawn patients from other states, at times through paid patient brokering, a pattern known as the "Florida Shuffle." Using commercial insurance claims data for patients with opioid use disorder, we evaluate whether Florida's crackdown on patient brokering reduced that inflow and changed the care patients received.
Residential patients from out of state, Florida vs. the rest of the US FloridaRest of the USShare of commercially insured residential treatment patients with opioid use disorder whose home state is elsewhere, by quarter. Dashed lines mark Florida's 2017 and 2019 patient brokering laws. Preliminary.
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Prescriber Variation in Urine Drug Testing During Buprenorphine Treatment
With Brendan Saloner (Brown University)
Urine drug testing is a routine part of buprenorphine treatment for opioid use disorder, but it does not follow clear protocols and has historically been prone to overuse. Using national multi-payer insurance claims data covering more than 1.2 million buprenorphine treatment episodes from 2016 to 2024, we evaluate how much of the variation in testing comes from prescribers.
Change in a patient's testing after switching prescribers Patients whose next 30-day buprenorphine episode was with a different prescriber, in 20 equal-size groups. Preliminary, 2016 to 2024.
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Substance Use Treatment Facilities Not Admitting Patients Taking Medications for Opioid Use Disorder
With Michael L. Barnett (Brown University), Brendan Saloner (Brown University)
Using annual national data on substance use treatment facilities, we track facilities that report treating opioid use disorder but neither provide medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD) nor accept patients who take them, and which kinds of facilities are more likely to turn these patients away.
Facilities not accepting patients taking MOUD, by setting ResidentialAll facilitiesOutpatientShare of facilities that report treating opioid use disorder but neither provide MOUD nor accept patients taking it, 2015 to 2022.
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Residential Addiction Treatment Access Equity: Effects of the Medicaid Section 1115 SUD IMD Waiver
With Helen Newton (University of North Carolina), Chima Ndumele (Yale School of Public Health), David A. Fiellin (Yale School of Medicine), Susan Busch (Yale School of Public Health)
Medicaid historically excluded most residential addiction treatment from federal funding. Section 1115 waivers allowed states to receive federal Medicaid funds for this care if participating facilities offered medications for opioid use disorder, which are highly effective at reducing overdose risk. Comparing states that adopted the waivers with those that did not, we assess whether improvements reached communities equitably. Medicaid participation grew broadly, but gains in medication treatment were concentrated in ZIP codes with fewer Black residents.
Change in MOUD provision after the waiver, by ZIP code racial composition Fewer Black residentsMore Black residentsEvent-study estimates for Medicaid-accepting residential facilities in 7 waiver states relative to 19 non-waiver states, 2012 to 2022, with 95% confidence intervals. ZIP codes with more Black residents are those in the top quartile of Black residents' share. The year before the waiver is the reference, and the first and last points include all earlier and later years.
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Effects of Opioid Treatment Program Closures on Methadone Treatment Receipt for Medicaid Beneficiaries
With Alina Denham (Stony Brook University), Mah-Afroze Chughtai (Brown University), Haiden Huskamp (Harvard Medical School), Ellen Meara (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health), Marc LaRochelle (Boston University), Michael L. Barnett (Brown University)
Methadone for opioid use disorder can only be dispensed through opioid treatment programs, so when a program closes, local access can change quickly. Using Medicaid claims data from 2016 to 2022 and an event-study design, we estimate how county-level methadone receipt changes in the months before and after programs close.
Opioid treatment program closures Programs in area 1 4 10+ Closures in area 1 2 3–5 6+ State not includedEach dot is an area about 70 miles across.
Other projects
- Variation in Urine Drug Testing Among Patients Starting Buprenorphine Uses national insurance claims data to study how often patients starting buprenorphine receive urine drug testing.
- Methadone treatment retention and urine drug testing in Medicaid Uses Medicaid claims data to study urine drug testing and retention in treatment among patients receiving methadone.
- Continuity of methadone treatment during hospital stays A secret shopper study of communication between hospitals and opioid treatment programs when patients receiving methadone are hospitalized.
- Access to inpatient psychiatric care A secret shopper study of access to inpatient psychiatric care.